Weekly Round-Up: 24th November 2017
Your budget Summary
According to the Chancellor this week the rise in employment is almost at an all-time high driven by full time workers, with unemployment also at its lowest rate since 1975. Growth in the UK Economy has remained solid, but slowed slightly at the start of the year leading to a growth forecast of 1.5% in 2017. It is then predicted to grow at a slightly slower rate in the next three years, before picking up in 2021 and 2022. Inflation is forecast to peak at 3% in the final months of this year, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI). It will then fall towards the target of 2% over the next year.
Borrowing by the government has fallen significantly from £1 in every £4 that was spent in 2009/10 to £1 in every £16 this year. However the UK still has a debt of over £1.7 trillion – around £65,000 for every household in the country.
The NHS will have an additional £6.3 billion allocated to it with £3.5 billion invested in upgrading NHS buildings and improving care whilst £2.8 billion will go towards improving A&E performance, reducing waiting times for patients, and treating more people this winter.
The Government has abolished stamp duty land tax (SDLT) on homes under £300,000 for first-time buyers suggesting that 95% of first-time buyers who would have paid stamp duty will benefit from the change. First-time buyers of homes worth between £300,000 and £500,000 will not pay stamp duty on the first £300,000 but will pay the normal rates of stamp duty on the price above that. This should save £1,660 on the average first-time buyer property. 80% of people buying their first home will pay no stamp duty but restrictions based on the sale price means that those buying properties over £500,000 do not benefit from the change.
There is going to be £15.3 billion of new financial support for house building over the next five years – taking the total to at least £44 billion. This includes £1.2 billion for the government to buy land to build more homes, and £2.7 billion for infrastructure that will support housing. The target has been set at 300,000 new homes a year, an amount not achieved since 1970 which will be supported by the creation of 5 new ‘garden’ towns. Changes to the planning system should encourage better use of land in cities and towns which it is suggested means more homes can be built while protecting the green belt. An extra £100 million will go towards helping people buy battery electric cars and there is encouragement for all new homes to be built with the right cables for electric car charge points.
When it comes to income, the National Living Wage for those aged 25 and over will increase from £7.50 per hour to £7.83 per hour from April 2018. Over 2 million people are expected to benefit and for a full-time worker, it represents a pay rise of over £600 a year. The National Minimum Wage will also increase dependent on the age of the worker. The personal allowance – the amount you earn before you start paying income tax – will rise from £11,500 to £11,850. This means that in 2018-19, a typical taxpayer will pay £1,075 less income tax than in 2010-11.
Those people aged between 26 and 30 will be able to benefit from a new railcard which it is anticipated will be introduced from spring 2018. Cheap, high-strength cider will be subject to a new band of duty and the duty on cigarettes will increase by 2% above inflation, hand-rolling tobacco duty will increase by 3% above inflation.
Air Passenger Duty will be frozen for all economy passengers and all short-haul flights. It will rise for premium fares on long-haul flights, and on private jets will see an increase in Air Passenger Duty.
Households in need, who qualify for Universal Credit, will be able to access a month’s worth of support within five days, via an interest-free advance, from January 2018 that can be repaid over 12 months. Claimants will soon be eligible for Universal Credit from the day they apply, rather than after seven days and Housing Benefit will continue to be paid for two weeks after a Universal Credit claim. Low-income households in areas where private rents have been rising fastest will receive an extra £280 on average in Housing Benefit or Universal Credit.
In terms of education, schools will get £600 for every extra pupil who takes A level or Core maths and £27 million has been set aside to help improve how maths is taught in 3,000 schools and £49 million will go towards helping students resitting GCSE maths. £34 million will go towards teaching construction skills like bricklaying and plastering and a further £30 million will go towards digital courses using Artificial Intelligence.
Local authorities will be able access a £220 million Clean Air Fund to use to help people adapt as steps are taken to reduce air pollution. This could be used to encourage more people to use public transport or for modernising buses with more energy efficient technology. The fund will be created by a temporary rise in Company Car Tax and Vehicle Excise Duty on new diesel cars.
And finally £1.7 billion will go towards improving transport in English cities. Half will be given to Combined Authorities with Mayors, and the rest allocated by a competition. Those people in Tyne & Wear could see a fleet of new trains, there is potential investment in the Midlands Connect motorway and rail projects and transport links along the Cambridge-Milton Keynes-Oxford corridor may be improved.
Weekly Round-Up: 17th November 2017
Downsize in later life
Older workers are finding themselves caught in a game of retirement roulette as many are relying on external factors such as a downsizing, an inheritance or even a lottery win to be able to afford a comfortable retirement, Aviva’s latest Real Retirement Report reveals.
A quarter (25%) of over-50s workers are hoping to profit from downsizing to a smaller home or moving to a cheaper area. A similar proportion (24%) are relying on receiving an inheritance to achieve a comfortable standard of living in retirement, which suggests it’s not only younger generations who count on help from family to support their financial needs. More than a fifth (22%) are depending on relatives no longer being financially dependent on them with as many as 1.9 million older workers currently have financially dependent parents or children.
According to the report more than one in ten (13%) or 1.3 million over-50s workers say they are relying on a lottery win to afford a comfortable retirement, despite the odds of winning the National Lottery being just one in 45 million – a sign of their pessimism about their prospects of otherwise being able to retire in comfort.
Over-50s workers say they reached or expect to reach their peak earnings – or the highest amount of income earned during their lifetime – at the age of 51 on average, with this period lasting for an average of 5½ years. Although a third (34%) of older workers save more during this peak earnings period, a fifth (21%) say they have or would spend it on big one-off purchases such as a new car, kitchen or extension. A similar proportion (20%) have or would spend more on everyday living and enjoying themselves. Only 12% say they have or would increase contributions to an existing workplace pension during this time, rising to just 14% among those who expect to retire within the next two years.
Cover at a premium
The Financial Inclusion Commission (“FIC”), a cross-party campaigning body of Members of Parliament, Peers, social-policy leaders and industry experts, has released the findings of its report Access to Insurance, which highlights the gaps in insurance coverage in the UK and sets out a blueprint for widened industry access. The report outlines the extent of those without adequate insurance cover, including that almost 16 million people (35%) are without contents insurance and 60% of those earning £15,000 or less per annum have no contents cover.
Insurance is the forgotten piece of the financial inclusion debate; it gives people the peace of mind to plan financially beyond day-to-day expenditure. The analysis shows that a significant proportion of the UK population is without contents insurance, which arises from a lack of demand from individuals and problems with supply. Being young, having a low income or living in a rented property are all factors for not having home insurance. Moreover, those in social housing tend to be found in areas of higher crime, and renters themselves are less able to afford the annual premiums. A study by the FCA reports that 81% of ‘generation rent’ are without contents cover.
Those in vulnerable circumstances are also likely to lose out: older people, for example, tend not to have the knowhow to handle the industry-wide move online, and younger people struggle with financial capability: 19% of adults find information provided by insurers difficult to understand. For many, contents insurance is made unaffordable because their financial situation prevents them paying often cheaper annual premiums and from purchasing comprehensive cover.
Where is the will?
New research from mutual insurer, Royal London, reveals three in five adults (60%) don’t have a will in place, with a third (33%) not having thought about writing a will. Surprisingly, the research also found that a quarter (26%) of those aged 55 and over have not written a will. Of these, one in six (16%) over 55s with no will have never even thought about writing one.
Co-habiting couples are less likely to have a will, with three-quarters (77%) not having written one compared to those who are married or in a civil partnership (46%). Single adults (45%) and co-habiting couples (32%) are the least likely to have thought about writing a will compared to those who are married or in a civil partnership (22%) and those who have separated/divorced (21%).
Adults with children feel more pressure to write a will, with half (48%) saying they have not written a will but want to write one in the near future. Three in five parents with children under 18 (58%) also haven’t chosen guardians for their children in the event of their death.
Halifax has teamed up with Google to help homebuyers understand perplexing property jargon The new Halifax Jargon Buster website provides relatable, entertaining and easy to understand analogies to help explain common property terms, including ‘stamp duty’, ‘gazumping’ and ‘valuation’. It also provides a dictionary definition and videos.
As part of this innovative campaign, consumers can access the Jargon Buster dictionary using Google Assistant on mobile devices and Google Home, by saying “Ok Google, let me speak to the Halifax Jargon Buster”. This means that users at any stage of the home buying process can search for the mortgage term they are unsure about, and get a response with an analogy.
More than 25 of the top Googled mortgage terms are currently featured on the Halifax Jargon Buster and others will continue to be added. It may come as an unwelcome surprise to homebuyers confused by the term ‘Stamp Duty’ that it is the second largest cost, behind estate agency fees, they are likely to pay when buying a home. Halifax research shows that the national average cost of moving in the UK stands at £11,624, with stamp duty accounting for £2,897; a rise of £393 (16%) over the last year. Stamp duty jumps to just under £16,000 for homemovers in London and, contrary to the national average, exceeds estate agency fees.
Compliance Update: 10th November 2017
Remain Vigilant for False Income and Employment Situations
This week, I’m going to talk about the need for advisers taking the the greatest care when assessing customers’ income and employment. If you are in any way involved in mortgage applications, this will be very relevant to you.
New legislation has increased the risk of an adviser being accused of committing a criminal offence by aiding a customer to evade tax, which ups the ante for adviser risks when combined with potential for application fraud and panel removal.
A recent review carried out by BM Solutions found that almost 9 out of 10 cases contained keying errors or discrepancies when it came to the income declared on the application. In many of these cases, further investigation led to the belief that fraud had been committed.
With the possibility of panel removals still being a major risk to individuals and firms, it still amazes me that advisers will take such a big risk with their livelihoods. Not cross checking the income, failing to do further checks to validate the employment, or simply not collecting enough evidence of income is where advisers are falling down and, as such, they are not taking all reasonable steps to ensure the declared income is genuine.
This remains a problem in the wider industry and even within the HLPartnership network, we still regularly come across situations where customers have lied about their job, their income, their financial history etc. with the adviser failing to notice because they didn’t carry out the most basic due diligence.
Don’t get me wrong; I know the majority of brokers understand the risk and are diligent in taking all reasonable steps to ensure the customer is telling them the truth. However, there are still those who think that it is acceptable to risk their entire career and potentially face fines or even imprisonment, just to make a few hundred quid.
I cannot make it any clearer: HLPartnership will not tolerate fraud and, if the adviser is found to be negligent and hasn’t carried out sufficient checks then this will result in termination of that adviser’s permissions. And if you think you could just go and work elsewhere, perhaps Directly Authorised or under another network, then think again. Regulatory references are detailed and brutally blunt. Panel removals, suspicions of financial crime involvement, suspensions, investigations, industry debt etc. are stains on your reputation that will not wash out.
At the recent Business Development Forum events around the country, we talked about the concerns BM Solutions naturally have over this. They have found, through their review across the industry, the following common, key themes:
- Advisers not collecting payslips;
- Payslips collected that were not acceptable e.g. not latest payslips or old documents;
- Income keyed on the system (employed and self-employed) not matching the fact find or documents collected;
- Self-employed income declared but the adviser not collecting corresponding SA302 documents;
- Self-employed verification not acceptable e.g. HMRC logo and/or tax reference not showing;
- Income from land and property where the adviser didn’t collect SA302, SA105 or P60 / Self-Assessment, where those properties are in the background
- Gross annual rental income (GARI) not provided at all or keyed incorrectly e.g. using monthly figures rather than grossing up to annual, using the bank statement which can be the net income if using a rental agent; etc.
Each of these situations could well lead to false declaration of true income, resulting in the application being treated as a fraud. For many situations, particularly property income, it could even be that the adviser is aiding the individual to evade tax, which is a criminal offence in itself and can now result in action taken against advisers personally, as well as the company they work for.
Recent guidance published by HMRC sets out these new offences being committed where a relevant body fails to prevent an associated person criminally facilitating the evasion of a tax.
HLPartnership has a zero tolerance to financial crime within the network and, in effect, these new rules do nothing to change that. But just to be clear (again) HLPartnership will not accept any act that supports an individual customer benefitting from tax evasion. All applications, whether regulated or buy to let, would require the customer to provide legitimate documentary evidence of earnings to support the application. Our policy does not allow a customer to self-declare their income, nor does it enable the customer to proceed without providing the relevant supporting documents, such as payslips, P60s and SA302 documents.
Lenders are ever vigilant to such issues and, of course, BM Solutions will be on high alert following their recent review. If you are not already familiar with their website (www.bmsolutions.co.uk) it’s a good idea to take a few minutes to become acquainted with it.
Of course, every lender’s procedures will vary and it’s not a case of one size fits all. Below are a few points to consider that will help keep you on the right side of the lender’s requirements:
- Firstly, before submitting the application, take time to check you have answered everything correctly. Leave it a few hours and come back to it if necessary.
- Gather all of the information from the borrower at the first available opportunity, such as their proof of income, identification, proof of deposit and Assured Shorthold Tenancies (AST).
- In light of the recent Buy-to-Let tax changes and the new rules for portfolio landlords, you may be required to gather more information on applicants than in previous years. Where the application is subject to manual underwriting, a fully completed Customer Profile Form will need to be submitted – details of which are on the BM Solutions website.
- All the correct documentation is worthless however if it is not keyed in or uploaded correctly. Double check the applications before you press the submit button and if you have made a mistake, tell the lender as soon as possible to get it corrected.
- If you are in any doubt about how to key the case properly or have any questions, please speak to your relevant BDM for guidance and keep a record of what they advise.
BM Solutions have produced a number of keying guides, available on their website, which will guide you through keying in income for different employment types. For completeness, we’ve also added to these to our website. Click the following links for the guides:
How to Key: Employed Applicant
How to Key: Self Employed Applicant
How to Key: Retired Applicant
Proof of Income Requirements
As a reminder, here are some tips to help you:
- Check payslips. A quick online search shows just how easy it is to obtain ‘replacement pay slips’ and without thorough diligence you may well be fooled. Request the applicant’s most recent payslips and check for any obvious irregularities – are they clear and legible? do they contain any formatting or spelling mistakes? Cross-reference the National Insurance number, employer’s address and tax code against other documents provided and make sure the amount they are credited each month matches the amount on their bank statement.
- FPI payments (Faster Payments). If these appear on bank statements you should delve deeper. When did the applicant start to receive these and are they genuinely from their employer? Does the explanation make sense? Do the numbers stack up?
- Customer profile. Use your instincts when it comes to scrutinising the applicant. Does it seem feasible how and what they are paid, given their profession or the benefits they claim? Have they started a new or secondary job recently and does this seem workable given their primary job?
- Existence of employer. Sometimes the simplest of details catches a fraudster out. Creating an identity for their employer may be something the applicant has overlooked. An online search should show some evidence of their employer, either on Yell.com, Google Street View or Companies House.
- Apply the same rules. The same stringent tests should also be applied to self-employed borrowers and those with a second job. Check the applicant’s status within the company – if they are a director or have a large shareholding they may need to be treated as self-employed.
- Confirm income. Request the borrower provides evidence of their income, printed directly from the HMRC web-portal. Documents available on there include the applicant’s ‘tax year calculation’ (also known as an SA302) which can be printed for the last four years and their ‘tax year overview’. Scrutinise these in the same way you would a payslip. Is the HMRC logo present and clear? Are the Unique Taxpayer Reference, customer name and tax year all present and correct?
- Existence of business. If self-employed, how do they generate business? You should be able to find evidence of this either online or in a local newspaper.
Finally – and arguably most importantly – report anything you believe is suspicious about the case to HLPartnership. We will ask for your suspicions in writing and have a form on the Members Area of our website to make it easier to do. Why do we want it in writing? Because it provides evidence that you have reported your suspicions and have fulfilled your responsibility to help stop fraud or other financial crime. Remember, failing to report a crime is almost as bad as actively being involved yourself, which is why there is a substantial fine and possible prison sentence for turning a blind eye.
Fraud is a plague on our society and it’s simply not worth getting involved either deliberately or through a lack of care with your clients. Please stay vigilant, protect yourselves by checking and validating the information, and if you do suspect something, report it.
Weekly Round-Up: 10th November 2017
On the range
The Nationwide Building Society is reporting that the annual rate of house price growth picked up slightly in October to 2.5%, from a revised 2.3% in September, remaining within their 2-4% range that has prevailing since March.
It is suggested that low mortgage rates and healthy rates of employment growth are providing some support for demand, but this is being partly offset by pressure on household incomes, which appears to be weighing on confidence. One key driver for House price growth is still the lack of homes on the market. Economic growth was a little stronger than expected in Q3, resulting in the Bank Base Rate rate rise last week (to 0.5% from 0.25%).
In today’s mortgage market however, the proportion of borrowers directly impacted by the rate rise is smaller than in the past, in part because the vast majority of new mortgages in recent years were extended on fixed interest rates. The share of outstanding mortgages on variable rates (and which are therefore likely to see an increase in payments when the Bank Rate increased) has fallen to a record low of c40%, down from a peak of c70% in 2001.
Moreover, the 0.25% increase in rates is likely to have a modest impact on most borrowers who are on variable rates. For example, on the average mortgage, the increase of 0.25% would increase monthly payments by £15 to £665 (equivalent to £180 per year). That’s not to say that the rise has been welcome news for many borrowers. Household budgets are under pressure from the fact that wages have not been rising as fast as the cost of living. Indeed, in real terms (i.e. after adjusting for inflation) wage rates are still at levels prevailing in 2005.
Barclays has introduced a new fraud intervention service to its online banking system. Customers tricked into transferring money to a fraudster can immediately get support to fix the situation with one simple phone call. When a payment made online is flagged as suspicious and out of character, Barclays will intervene to ask the customer three questions to identify whether they are a likely victim of a fraudster. For example, ‘Has someone just called you saying they are from your bank asking you to move money to a ‘safe’ account?’
This new step to the online banking process is triggered by suspicious and out of character behaviour, including an unusually large transfer to a new or existing payee. The move comes as Barclays revealed that a third (34 per cent) of UK adults have now been a victim of fraud or scams, falling for this not once, but twice on average in their lifetime. The financial impact of this is huge, with the average amount stolen reaching £893.34 per time.
Furthermore, (33 per cent) of fraud and scam cases have gone unreported to banks and nearly three quarters (72 per cent) were not reported to the police, due to one in four Brit’s being too embarrassed to admit they have fallen victim.
Managing the Mortgage
UK Finance has published its latest set of figures showing that the number of mortgages in arrears of 2.5 per cent or more of the outstanding balance fell again in the third quarter of 2017, but cases of possession edged upwards from a historically low level. At 88,300, the number of loans in arrears was two per cent lower than in the second quarter of the year (90,400) and at its lowest level since this run of data began in 1994. The number of mortgages in arrears of 2.5 per cent or more of the outstanding balance fell again in the third quarter of 2017, but cases of possession edged upwards from an historically low level. At 88,300, the number of loans in arrears was two per cent lower than in the second quarter of the year (90,400) and at its lowest level since this run of data began in 1994.
The number of properties taken into possession in the third quarter nudged upwards to 1,900, the same total as in the first three months of this year. The second quarter total of 1,800 cases of possession had been the lowest since quarterly data began in 2008, and the proportion of properties taken into possession (at 0.02 per cent) has remained unchanged in each period since the second quarter of 2015. Within the total, the number of owner-occupied properties taken into possession increased in the third quarter from 1,100 to 1,300, while buy-to-let repossessions fell from 700 to 600. The last time the number of owner-occupied possession rose was in the first quarter of 2014, when the total increased from 4,900 to 5,000.
Buy-to-let arrears were flat, apart from a small increase in those with higher levels of debt. Overall, the number of buy-to-let mortgages in arrears increased by two per cent to 5,100 (5,000 in the second quarter).
In October, interest from buyers continued to decline with 20% more respondents to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors UK Residential Market Survey seeing a fall in new buyer enquiries over the month. Agreed sales were also reported to have fallen again with 20% more respondents noting a decline in transactions over the month at the national level. Regionally, Wales, Scotland and the North East were the only areas to see any pick-up for agreed sales, while sales trends were either flat or negative across the rest of the UK. Going forward, national sales expectations remain flat over the coming three months, while the twelve month view has turned marginally negative.
Following a couple of months in which new instructions were broadly stable, the latest results point to a renewed deterioration in the flow of fresh listings coming to market (net balance -14%). In keeping with other indicators pointing to a slower market, it is now also taking longer to complete a sale, with the average time rising to 18.5 weeks nationally, up from 16.6 in February 2017 when the measure was first introduced.
In October the survey showed 1% more professionals reporting a price rise nationally rather than fall (+6% in September), although there remains significant differences between regions. Respondents in London are continuing to report a decline in prices, with 63% more respondents reporting a fall rather than rise over the month (the poorest reading since 2009). Similarly, respondents are reporting a weakening picture in the South East, while East Anglia and the North East also returned readings below zero. By way of contrast, the North West of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland have all reported sentiment consistent with house price gains.
Weekly Round-Up: 3rd November 2017
The only way is up
At its meeting ending on 1 November 2017, The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a majority of 7-2 to increase Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 0.5%. The MPC still expects inflation to peak above 3.0% in October but is expected to fall back over the next year and, conditioned on the gently rising path of Bank Rate implied by current market yields, to approach the 2% target by the end of the forecast period.
The MPC highlighted that the decision to leave the European Union is having a noticeable impact on the economic outlook with constraints on investment and labour supply appearing to reinforce the marked slowdown that has been increasingly evident in recent years. Unemployment has fallen to a 42-year low and the MPC judges that the level of remaining slack is limited and consumer confidence has remained resilient. In line with the framework set out at the time of the referendum, the MPC now judges that it can raise interest rates to tighten modestly the stance of monetary policy in order to return inflation sustainably to the target. All members agree that any future increases in Bank Rate would be expected to be at a gradual pace and to a limited extent.
The Bank believes that there remains considerable risks to the outlook, which include the response of households, businesses and financial markets to developments related to the process of EU withdrawal. The MPC will respond to developments as they occur insofar as they affect the behaviour of households and businesses, and the outlook for inflation. The Committee will monitor closely the incoming evidence on these and other developments, including the impact of today’s increase in Bank Rate, and stands ready to respond to changes in the economic outlook as they unfold to ensure a sustainable return of inflation to the 2% target.
On the range
According to the Nationwide Building Society, the annual rate of house price growth picked up slightly in October to 2.5%, from a revised 2.3% in September and remaining within the 2-4% range that has prevailing since March. Low mortgage rates and healthy rates of employment growth are providing some support for demand, but this is being partly offset by pressure on household incomes, which appears to be weighing on confidence. The lack of homes on the market is providing support to house prices.
The proportion of borrowers directly impacted by a rate rise is smaller than in the past, in part because the vast majority of new mortgages in recent years were extended on fixed interest rates. The share of outstanding mortgages on variable rates (and which are therefore likely to see an increase in payments if the Bank Rate is increased) has fallen to a record low of c40%, down from a peak of c70% in 2001.
One of the many factors that impacts housing demand is population growth. England’s population increased by 11% between 2001 and 2015 (from 49.4m to 54.8m). International migration has been an important driver, accounting for 60% (3.2m) of the change over the period. Between 2011 and 2015, there was a 2% increase in the number of households in England (from 21.3m to 21.9m). The increase has been largely driven by those born outside of the UK, in particular from the EU.
Let the train take the strain out of homebuying
Homebuyers working in London and willing to commute for an hour could save £480,000 on average on the purchase price of their home highlighted in research from Lloyds Bank. Unsurprisingly, homebuyers can get more for their money outside of central London (zones 1 and 2) due to lower property prices. Commuting for an hour can save homebuyers an average of £480,858 (60%).
House prices in a selection of towns about an hour’s train journey away from the capital (including Crawley, Windsor, Rochester, Peterborough and Oxford) are, on average, around £316,000; that is £480,858 lower than the average of £797,158 for a property within travelcard zones 1 and 2. This is also significantly lower (£199,778) than the average property price in zones 3 to 6.
The difference between house prices for commuters travelling approximately 60 minutes would pay for the current annual rail cost (£5,169) for 93 years. Homebuyers looking to buy a home in a town approximately 40 minutes away from central London (including Hatfield, Billericay, Orpington and Reading), will pay an average price of £424,903; still £372,255 (47%) lower than in zones 1 and 2 – and with a lower average annual rail pass costing £3,615. The difference of £372,255 would pay for the current annual rail cost for nearly 103 years with a 20 minute commute saving homebuyers £299,328 (38%).
Some commuters to central London however live in areas that command higher house prices. These include commuters from Beaconsfield, who pay an average of £1,054,215 compared to the average house price of £797,158 for those living in central London, a difference of £257,057. Gerrards Cross (£903,142), Ascot (£824,421), Weybridge (£822,672) and Wimbledon, (£807,574) are also more expensive.
Plan for the worst
New research from Royal London shows only one in four (23%) adults have organised their financial information well enough to allow their loved ones to handle their financial affairs relatively easily on death. One in three adults (33%) have dealt with the financial affairs of someone who has died, yet only a quarter (23%) have their own comprehensive file of financial information.
More than one in 10 (12%) adults admitted that it would be very difficult for anyone to handle their financial affairs after they died. Of those who have had to deal with the financial affairs of a deceased relative, more than two thirds (69%) have their financial affairs well organised compared to those who have never had to deal with this (45%).
When it comes to other concerns, the research found stark differences across age groups in the UK. Those over 55 are three times more worried about their health compared to under 55s. Similarly, under 55s are more worried about money than those over 55. Of those who are worried about money only two in five (38%) consider it as their biggest priority.
Nearly half (46%) of millennials, those aged 18-34, said money was their main worry, yet only a quarter (24%) said saving or making more money was their main priority over the next 12 months.
In the event of a death, most families rely on savings (33%), followed by pension funds (26%) and cash from the sale of a property (21%). Worryingly, one in seven (14%) adults under 55 didn’t know what assets or income their family would live off if they were to die.
In their latest view on the housing market, UK Finance has suggested activity in the housing market has built up modest momentum since the start of the year. The number of transactions has remained just above 100,000 each month since January, supported by recovering levels of house purchase approvals. Their house purchase approvals data which covers just over two-thirds of the market, implies they expect activity to recover a little further as we head towards the end of this year. Looking at activity over the longer term, there’s been little movement in transactions since early 2014.
Within the 100,000 a month average figure, the activity mix has changed. Before March 2016, when the stamp duty change on second properties led to a jump in activity, roughly one-in-ten transactions were by landlords, but in August this year, the comparable figure was closer to one-in-17. Over the same period, first-time buyers have fared better, accounting for a larger proportion of house purchases, helped by government schemes such as the Help to Buy equity loan. Home movers and cash buyers have seen less movement as their share of the market remains unchanged.
More recently though, home mover numbers have shown some signs of growth, helped by low mortgage rates as their debt service costs reach historic lows. Another factor that may have helped home movers is the change to the Prudential Regulation Authority’s macro-prudential policy on loan-to-incomes. This allows lenders to more effectively manage the flow of loans at high income multiples and has coincided with the proportion of home mover loans at or above 4.5 loan-to-income ratio to overtake that of first-time buyers.